...a catalyst-heavy week is creating a lack of willingness to play any offense...

The case that this narrative experiences a serious “hiccup” is growing.

Hard to ignore the correlation between equity funding rates and levered ETF AUM...

They are fighting every way they can to keep the cheating going...

Though still not pricing a stagflationary event, current pricing/factors are becoming less benign for risk assets...

BlackRock thinks Bitcoin and other crypto networks have the upper hand when facing the threat of quantum computers...

Positioning and leverage in US equity markets remains elevated, amplifying risks of a deeper drop if selling gathers pace...

Wall Street de-risked tech. China didn't. Instead, it launched a $500bn DRAM champion and appears to have started producing domestic DUV lithography systems. The AI trade may have entered a very different phase.

As the NAND trade wobbles on the back of declines in spot prices, concerns about the cyclical nature of other AI components are getting repriced as companies embark on a competitive capex spree.

As more and more of the financial world steps off the ever-turning carousel of market news and disappears towards sunnier shores, an extremely busy global week lies ahead...

President Trump’s threats of ‘massive attack’ late last week that saw Brent crude surge above $100/bbl, higher bond yields, and equities under pressure has now given way to a massive relax, with Brent below $92/bbl...

"It was just pure chaos." 

"We estimate a target window in late August or September..." 

The Justice Department has signaled it may now turn to the Supreme Court for emergency relief, a path the administration flagged earlier in the litigation should it fail to prevail at the appellate level...

Who qualifies for the $1,000 seed money, and how do you claim it for your child?

We should not underestimate what that means...

"I expect a volatile week with the Fed, tech results, and a bunch of European inflation data coming out. Moreover, the Iran situation is still very fragile. For now, the President said that ‘all options are still open,’ so it will be difficult to put risk back on the table."

A dangerous merging of conflicts?

Markets displayed a reduced risk appetite last week as uncertainty built across policy, growth and geopolitics, yet low cross-asset volatility suggests markets aren’t fully pricing how unclear the path ahead has become...

History never repeats exactly, but it often rhymes. Overlay today's KOSPI with China's 2015 onshore rally. The fundamentals are stronger this time. The chart comparison is surprisingly uncomfortable.