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CBS News

Fact checking Trump speech on election security

Layla Ferris
9 min read
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Trump’s Latest Desperate Move at Reflecting Pool Exposed

CBS News fact-checked President Trump's speech on election security Thursday night, in which he raised new allegations regarding China's access to U.S. voter data, revisited accusations about voter registration fraud in the U.S., dead and non-citizen voting and claimed voting machines are "easily compromised," and made other pronouncements about the state of voting in America.

Here are some of the claims and CBS News' ratings and context for Mr. Trump's statements:

Misleading: Trump claims China "carried out what is believed to be the largest compromise of election data in history" during 2020 election

"First, they show that over a period of years, starting during the 2020 election cycle, the People's Republic of China carried out what is believed to be the largest compromise of election data in history."

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Details:

It's not clear how China accessed the voter data or what they did with it once they obtained it.All states make some voting information publicly available: Name, address, political party and more. North Carolina and Ohio, for example, post their voter file online for free. In some states, these lists are available for purchase by political campaigns and parties. A Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency/FBI bulletin from September 2020 found, "In reality, much U.S. voter information can be purchased or acquired through publicly available sources. While cyber actors have in recent years obtained voter registration information, the acquisition of this data did not impact the voting process or election results."The bulletin continued, "The FBI and CISA have no information suggesting any cyberattack on U.S. election infrastructure has prevented an election from occurring, prevented a registered voter from casting a ballot, compromised the accuracy of voter registration information, or compromised the integrity of any ballots cast."

By Gabrielle Ake

False: Trump claims U.S. election system "falls catastrophically short" of standard where "cheating and interference are not just difficult, but virtually impossible."

"Every American deserves to know that when they cast their vote, that vote will be counted accurately in a system, and that is to make that system secure — one where cheating and interference are not just difficult, but virtually impossible. Unfortunately, the system we have today falls catastrophically short of that standard."

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Details:

Officials have repeatedly said election infrastructure remains secure.The Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, or CISA, said there was "no evidence of any malicious activity" affecting the integrity of the 2024 elections. CISA also said the 2020 election was "the most secure in American history," with no evidence that voting systems deleted, lost or compromised votes. Georgia and Pennsylvania conducted audits of the 2024 general election and officials in both states confirmed the accuracy of election results.

By Layla Ferris

Lacks evidence: Trump claims voting machines "vulnerable and they're easily compromised, and people within our government knew that."

"They're vulnerable and they're easily compromised, and people within our government knew that."

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Details:

This claim likely refers to a document declassified by the government that mentions voting machines and Venezuela. The intelligence community found Venezuela was trying to operationalize a hypothetical vulnerability in a voting system used in that country. That system is not used in the U.S. and Smartmatic, the company that makes the Venezuelan machine, is not involved in any voting machines in the U.S., with the exception of Los Angeles County.

Experts say voting machines in the U.S. are extremely difficult to compromise because they are closely monitored, they aren't connected to the internet and they are backed up by paper ballots that can be audited to check the results by hand. "They're under lock and key until they are publicly tested to make sure they haven't been tampered with," said Center for Election Innovation & Research Executive Director David Becker. "And then they are used and we still don't trust them. We have those paper ballots."

Mr. Trump has also raised doubts about Dominion Voting Systems voting machines, which were used in 28 states in 2020, including the battleground states of Georgia and Wisconsin. In a 2022 review of Dominion Voting Systems by the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, CISA found vulnerabilities that it said could be exploited to gain control over the system's operations under very specific conditions.

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One vulnerability involves a scenario under which an individual would have to physically access the voting machines and be able to technically modify files before uploading them to the larger system. But CISA said it found no evidence these vulnerabilities have been exploited in any elections.There are physical vulnerabilities that exist where elections are held, according to a 2023 Brennan Center report, which found that state and local officials have called for more funding to bolster physical security at their offices. But while many stress tests have been conducted on voting machine technology to find any flaws, Trump's claim that voting machines are "easily compromised" and that the government knew that, is not backed up by CISA's assessment. "Security researchers do find real weaknesses embedded in the code and operations of U.S. voting systems, just like they do with power grids, banks, and telecommunications, all of which share the same 'critical infrastructure' designation as elections. Finding a flaw and fixing it is a sign of a mature system, not a sign it's broken," wrote Geoff Hale of the Center for Democracy & Technology.

By Aaron Navarro

Exaggerated: Trump claims "hundreds of thousands of non-citizens and dead people" are "active on the voter rolls"

"Hundreds of thousands of non-citizens and dead people are listed and active on the voter rolls."

Details:

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Election experts say votes cast on behalf of "dead people" are extremely rare, and the numbers are unlikely to affect the outcome of an election. For instance, the North Carolina State Board of Elections announced in April that it had identified "34,000 deceased individuals" on the state's voter rolls. But the board also said that this "does not necessarily indicate that illegal votes were cast in their names."Under very specific circumstances, however, some states will count the vote of a person who has died. According to the National Conference of State Legislatures, 10 states count an absentee ballot cast by a voter who died before Election Day, and Connecticut will count a deceased voter's ballot if the individual was a member of the armed services.Michigan and 11 other states explicitly prohibit counting the votes of deceased individuals, "even if the voter cast an absentee ballot and then died before Election Day," according to Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson.Colorado, Kansas and New York only allow counting a deceased individual's vote if an investigation proves that the voter had cast a ballot and later died before Election Day.The phenomenon of non-citizens voting in U.S. elections is a rare occurrence and unlikely to change the outcome of an election. The Center for Election Innovation & Research concluded that non-citizens voting in U.S. elections "arise from misunderstandings, mischaracterizations, or outright fabrications" and once an investigation by an individual state's secretary of state is concluded, "the number of alleged instances falls drastically."Iowa Secretary of State Paul Pate revealed in March 2025 that the state had estimated 2,186 non-citizens registered to vote. But after a statewide audit, the number dropped to "277 confirmed non-citizens." Of those, only 35 voted in the 2024 election.

By Ibrahim Aksoy

False: Trump claims NBC, ABC, CNN didn't cover his speech "because they know how corrupt our system is and they don't want to reveal it."

"In a rare move, NBC and ABC — fake news — have both said that they would not cover this speech. They knew what it was about. Because of the fact that they don't like the topic because they know how corrupt our system is and they don't want to reveal it."

Details:

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ABC News, NBC News and CNN said they would not carry President Trump's speech on their primary broadcast channels, but will have the speech available on separate streaming platforms.

The speech was on streaming platforms ABC News Live and NBC News NOW. Reuters reported CNN would have a live feed on its website and subscription streaming channel, CNN All Access.

ABC News, NBC News and CNN all livestreamed Trump's speech on their respective YouTube channels as well. Coverage of the speech also appeared on all three outlets' websites.

By Layla Ferris

False: Trump claims mail-in ballots are "inherently corrupt"

"Mail-in ballots are inherently corrupt. So, you would have no mail-in ballots except for illness, disability, military deployment or travel. If you're going away on business or vacation, these reforms are urgently needed to stop the vulnerabilities that I've mentioned."

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Details:

There is no evidence of widespread mail-in ballot fraud or corruption in states where no-excuse absentee or universal vote-by-mail is offered. Multiple studies have shown that instances of voter fraud are very rare and not significant enough to impact the result of an election. The Brookings Institute found an "average total mail voting fraud percentage across the 2016, 2018, 2020, and 2022 general elections of only 0.000043%, or about four cases of mail voting fraud out of every 10 million mail votes."The U.S. has a long history of mail-in ballots – their use started during the Civil War. The U.S. Postal Service processed 99.2 million ballots in the general election, beginning Sept. 1, 2024. The president has long tried to discredit mail-in ballots, and in 2020 campaigned against their use. He has continued his attack on mail-in ballots into 2026, calling for the allowance of absentee ballots only with excuses such as travel, illness or military service, through the SAVE America Act.The president himself used mail-in voting recently. Earlier this year, Mr. Trump used a mail-in ballot in a Florida special election. He explained, "I couldn't be there, because I had a lot of different things." But the president was in Palm Beach during one of the weekends when early voting was available. He stayed at his Mar-a-Lago club and golfed at Trump International over that weekend.

By Gabrielle Ake

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Forbes

Trump Threatens To Revoke ABC And NBC Broadcast Licenses For Not Airing His Speech Live

Siladitya Ray, Forbes Staff
Updated
3 min read
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Topline

President Donald Trump attacked ABC and NBC and called for their broadcast licenses to be revoked, after the two networks did not carry his primetime speech on Thursday night, where he accused China of illegally accessing U.S. voter data and restated his long-running grievances about election security in the country.

Trump Speech

President Donald Trump gestures after speaking in the East Room of the White House.

AFP or licensors

Key Facts

Aside from NBC and ABC, CNN also did not carry the president's speech live, while CBS aired most of the address in a special segment anchored by Tony Dokoupil with major disclaimers about Trump's previous falsehoods about the 2020 elections.

In his speech, the president mentioned that NBC and ABC news, in a "rare move," were not covering his speech live—although there have been other previous instances of networks not preempting the schedule for a presidential address.

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Without offering any evidence, Trump accused the networks and "others in the media" of being engaged in "a plot" and claimed, "they know how corrupt our system is and they don't want to reveal it."

Despite there being no evidence of widespread voter fraud in U.S. elections, Trump said the networks want to "continue this fraud…keep it going" and "protect the radical left."

The president then appeared to describe NBC and ABC's refusal to air his speech as an act of "fraud" and said this "should mean a revocation of their licenses."

Insisting that "this can't be allowed to continue," Trump railed against the networks for using "our public multi-billion dollar in value airways for absolutely no money."

Tangent

Although Fox News carried the president's speech in its entirety at one point, the network chimed in with a disclaimer about Trump's claims. A Fox News anchor said, "We…heard the president make claims that electronic voting machines are vulnerable and easily compromised. Fox News has not seen the evidence yet and is not in a position to evaluate the accuracy of the president's statement and claims."

Key background

In the past year, Trump has repeatedly threatened to revoke broadcast licenses of various networks for negative coverage of him or his administration—raising concerns among free speech advocates. In a Truth Social post last year, Trump attacked ABC and NBC, calling them "two of the worst and most biased networks in history, give me 97% BAD STORIES." The president said he was in favor of revoking their broadcast licenses as he baselessly accused them of being an "ARM OF THE DEMOCRAT PARTY." In April, the Federal Communications Commission filed an order to conduct an early license review of 8 ABC-run stations. The National Association of Broadcasters described the FCC's actions as "nearly unprecedented." The agency's chair and Trump appointee, Brendan Carr, who has sided with the president's criticism of the networks, has, however, denied that the license review was the result of external "pressure" or "suggestion" from the White House.

further reading

Trump Accuses China Of Meddling In Elections As He Rehashes Old Concerns About 2020 (Forbes)

This article was originally published on Forbes.com

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Fox News

More than a quarter-million noncitizens may be registered to vote in 4 key states, DHS alleges

Preston Mizell, Stephen Sorace
Updated
2 min read
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More than a quarter-million noncitizens may be registered to vote in 4 key states, DHS alleges
Voters casting ballots
  • Department of Homeland Security found over 256,000 potential noncitizen voters across California, New Jersey, Nevada, and Pennsylvania through a preliminary review of voter registration records and federal immigration data.

FIRST ON FOX – The Department of Homeland Security told election officials in California, New Jersey, Nevada and Pennsylvania a preliminary review found what could be more than 256,000 noncitizens registered to vote across the four states, according to letters obtained by Fox News Digital.

In the four letters dated Friday, DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin said the department compared publicly available voter registration records with federal immigration data and uncovered thousands of potential matches. He asked state election officials to work with DHS to verify the identities before taking any action.

According to the letters, DHS estimates there may be as many as 190,832 noncitizens registered to vote in California, 35,152 in New Jersey, 15,903 in Nevada and 14,576 in Pennsylvania. 

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The department said it found 81,336 California registrants, 19,497 New Jersey registrants, 8,576 Nevada registrants and 8,594 Pennsylvania registrants whose names, dates of birth, addresses and Social Security numbers match noncitizens in DHS records.

Dhs Plans Costly Crackdown On States That Don't Cooperate On Election Security

Voters casting ballots
Voters cast ballots at a polling location.

Many noncitizens are legally issued Social Security numbers, including lawful permanent residents, people authorized to work in the United States and certain visa holders. DHS said it used Social Security numbers as one of several identifiers in matching voter registration records with federal immigration records.

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The letters describe the findings as a preliminary review.

Markwayne Mullin speaks during a news conference
Department of Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin speaks during a news conference July 1, 2026, in New York.

"The most efficient way to ensure the accuracy of our findings is to work collaboratively on identity verification," Mullin wrote. DHS said it is prepared to provide immigration records under federal law to help states determine whether those individuals are eligible to remain on the voter rolls.

Dhs Directs Ice To Deport Illegal Immigrants Who Vote In American Elections Under New Directive

Mullin said ensuring that only U.S. citizens vote in federal elections is essential to protecting election integrity, writing that "allowing just one non-citizen to vote cancels the vote of one U.S. citizen." 

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He added that states maintain voter registration rolls while the federal government maintains the immigration records needed to verify citizenship.

voter casts their ballot
A voter casts a ballot at a polling location.

The letters ask the secretaries of state to contact DHS by July 24 so the department can begin sharing records and assisting with the verification process ahead of future federal elections.

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California Secretary of State Shirley Weber, Pennsylvania Secretary of State Al Schmidt, New Jersey Secretary of State Dale Caldwell and Nevada Secretary of State Francisco Aguilar did not immediately respond to Fox News Digital requests for comment.

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The letters come as the Trump administration continues pushing states to work more closely with federal agencies on election security and voter eligibility, arguing that access to federal immigration records can help states maintain accurate voter rolls.

Original article source: More than a quarter-million noncitizens may be registered to vote in 4 key states, DHS alleges

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The Hill

Opinion - Trump threatens survival of American democracy with election rigging efforts

A. Scott Bolden, opinion contributor
4 min read
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President Trump, who is scheduled to deliver an address to the nation tonight on election integrity and other topics, poses one of the gravest threats in American history to the free and fair elections vital to the survival of our democracy.

Even as he falsely claims he wants to protect election integrity, Trump is working to rig elections in favor of his fellow Republicans.

The president wants to prevent Democrats from gaining majority control of one or both congressional chambers in the midterm elections to stop them from blocking his favored legislation and investigating him and his administration. He has said a Democratic House majority would impeach him.

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Showing his disrespect for elections, Trump continues to claim, falsely, that he won the 2020 presidential race that Joe Biden actually won. This lie could have deadly consequences.

Trump has irresponsibly endangered the lives of Americans and our national security by giving hundreds of FBI employees and members of the intelligence community the impossible mission of proving he was reelected in 2020. While they are wasting time on this, they are not working to protect us against possible terrorist attacks from Iran and America's other enemies.  

The Trump administration has further endangered Americans with a new policy that will withhold 20 percent of $1 billion in annual terrorism preparedness grants from states that refuse to adopt voter suppression practices favored by the president.

Unlike past losing presidential candidates, who accepted the decision of voters, Trump filed more than 60 lawsuits seeking to overturn his election defeat. He lost them all.  

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Trump then summoned supporters to Washington on Jan. 6, 2021, and asked them to march to the Capitol. They staged a deadly riot there and assaulted police officers in an effort to block Congress from certifying Biden's election victory. The House impeached Trump for his actions, but the Republican-controlled Senate failed to convict him.

In his current term, Trump rewarded the rioters by pardoning more than 1,500 for their crimes, making a mockery of his claim that "I am your president of law and order." He has called the rioters "patriots" for violently refusing to accept the integrity of the election he lost.

In a further move to show his contempt for election integrity, Trump is demanding Congress pass a voter suppression bill titled the Save America Act. It would make it harder for millions of U.S. citizens to vote, but lacks enough support to overcome a Senate filibuster.

The Save America Act would require Americans to show a photo ID to vote. It would require them to first go to a state elections office and produce a birth certificates, passports or naturalization papers to register to vote or update their registrations if necessary — for example, if they have changed addresses.

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But more than 21 million voting-age U.S. citizens don't have easy access to such documents, which can be costly and time-consuming to replace. In addition, more than 60 million married American women who took the last names of their husbands do not have birth certificates that match their current names.

Trump was so angered by the Senate's failure to pass the Save America Act that he refused to sign a major bipartisan bill designed to make housing more affordable. He allowed the housing bill to become law without his signature, after belittling its importance by calling it "a big yawn."

In another attack on free and fair elections, Trump demanded last year that Republican-controlled states gerrymander congressional and state legislative districts to favor Republicans. Eight states did.

On top of this, the Supreme Court voted this year to allow states to eliminate majority-minority election districts, in a move that will reduce Black voting power. This furthers Trump's goal of helping Republicans in the midterms because most African American voters cast ballots for Democrats.

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Trump also sought to suppress voting with an executive order issued in March requiring the U.S. Postal Service to restrict who can receive ballots for mail-in voting. A U.S. district court ruled in June that key portions of Trump's order are unconstitutional, leading the Justice Department to appeal the ruling.

In addition, Trump removed the two Democratic members of the four-person Election Assistance Commission in July, after the two Republican members resigned. The commission's job is to increase election security — the cause Trump claims to be interested in. Trump can nominate new members willing to do his bidding, who would need to be confirmed by the Senate to serve.

Trump's actions show he has no interest in election integrity. He is only interested in winning elections by any means necessary.

The president wants to preserve Republican majorities in the House and Senate because he believes they will allow him to do almost anything he wants — ruling largely by executive orders, waging war without congressional authorization, weaponizing government against his perceived enemies, and monetizing his office to enrich himself (he earned at least $2.2 billion in 2025).

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All Americans who believe in the Constitution's checks and balances to constrain presidential power need to vote for Democratic House and Senate candidates in the midterm elections to stop Trump from continuing to wage war on our democracy and abusing his power.  

A. Scott Bolden is an attorney, NewsNation contributor, former chair of the Washington, D.C. Democratic Party and a former New York state prosecutor.     

Copyright 2026 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

 For the latest news, weather, sports, and streaming video, head to The Hill. 

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CNN

Rubio and Miller warn of the ‘mortal threat’ of ‘far-left terror’ in speech to 67 countries

Jennifer Hansler, CNN
5 min read
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Secretary of State Marco Rubio delivers remarks at the start of a ministerial meeting, at the State Department in Washington, DC, on Thursday. - Jonathan Ernst/Reuters
Secretary of State Marco Rubio delivers remarks at the start of a ministerial meeting, at the State Department in Washington, DC, on Thursday. - Jonathan Ernst/Reuters

Secretary of State Marco Rubio and top White House adviser Stephen Miller on Thursday sought to paint a dark picture of the threat of "far-left terror" to the United States as they urged diplomats from around the world to "defend" their civilizations against the "scourge."

In remarks focused almost entirely on the US, Miller spoke of the need to fight the "fatal cancer of civilization," claiming that so-called left-wing terrorism, when "left to run its course, it always becomes a gulag." He argued that the US' political, legal, and judicial systems don't work "if the threat of violence and terror goes on unchecked." And he denounced Antifa protesters as "deformed," saying, "their outer appearance becomes a manifestation of their inner hatred."

"The greatest risk that we have is that our institutions have grown too soft and too cowardly to be able to defend themselves against a mortal threat," Miller told a room full of representatives from more 60 countries and fellow Trump administration officials at the State Department on Thursday. "If your civilization is your home, you must defend it with the same passion and force as if an enemy intruder is inside your own house where your family lives."

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The ministerial on Thursday was meant to coalesce allies around a strategy to combat the alleged resurgence. Later on Thursday, Rubio announced a new visa restriction policy to target "members of Far-Left Terrorist and other aligned groups."

The fight against the alleged rise of "violent left-wing extremists, including anarchists and anti-fascists," is a key priority of the Trump administration, which has argued that they are a foremost terrorist threat to the US.

However, multiple former officials said the issue has been politicized by the administration and that the threat from the "far-left" does not rise to the level of that posed by groups like ISIS or by far-right extremists, the latter of which was absent entirely from the administration's counterterrorism strategy released in May. And critics have expressed concerns that the strategy is an attempt to amplify the threat and target those on the political left who oppose President Donald Trump's policies.

Rubio said the threat had been dismissed "as a right-wing fever dream, or worse, as a dangerous fascist conspiracy," but that its resurgence is "an undeniable reality" comparable to the left-wing attacks of the 1970s.

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"They can call themselves anti-capitalist or anti-imperialist, communist, or anarchist, or Marxists, but the fundamental character is always the same," Rubio said.

Rubio called on the countries in the room to work with the US to "identify and map this threat and rebuild our counterterrorism architecture to defeat it."

"Through intelligence and information sharing, through coordinated law enforcement strategy, through financial targeting and disruption, we will dismantle these networks brick by brick," he said.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who also spoke at the opening session, said his department was "expanding its efforts to identify organizations that abuse charitable and nonprofit structures as vehicles for illicit finance" for alleged far-left terrorism.

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Rubio's convening of the ministerial comes not only as the matter has become a key domestic focus for the administration, but also amid growing chatter about the top US diplomat's potential political future.

Sixty-seven countries attended the event, a State Department spokesperson said on Thursday. They represented countries mostly from Europe, although there are countries from Asia and the Western Hemisphere with representatives. Israel is the only Middle Eastern country in attendance, according to the list provided by a spokesperson.

Many of the delegations were not be led by the foreign ministers of the countries, but rather ambassadors or working-level and technical officials. Several sources cited scheduling for the lower-level attendance, with invitations to the event only being issued at the beginning of July.

A banner reading ''Free All Antifas'' is displayed at the traditional ''Revolutionarer 1. Mai'' May Day protest in Berlin, Germany, on May 1. - Tonny Linke/NurPhotoGetty Images/File
A banner reading ''Free All Antifas'' is displayed at the traditional ''Revolutionarer 1. Mai'' May Day protest in Berlin, Germany, on May 1. - Tonny Linke/NurPhotoGetty Images/File

However, former officials said the ministerial appears to be a part of the administration's broader effort to amplify the threat to suit a domestic political agenda. Several who spoke with CNN said that the reality of the threat from far-left extremists does not match the administration's portrayal.

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"We looked at terrorism of all stripes, including left-wing terrorism, but the reality and the data, both here domestically and abroad, indicate that left-wing extremism is not and has not been the type of threat or the degree of threat that far-right terrorism or extremist violence or jihadist violence have posed," said Ian Moss, the former deputy coordinator for counterterrorism at the State Department under the Biden administration.

Moss, now an attorney with Jenner & Block, noted that there are "other forms of violent ideological extremism, Islamist violence for starters, and then certainly violent right-wing extremists or White identity terrorists, which are a real risk, a real concern domestically and internationally, and one that the administration seems to have not focused on."

Michael Duffin, a former senior counterterrorism adviser at the State Department, said that "never" in his nine years of working on counterterrorism "had so-called left-wing extremism risen" to a level warranting such high-level focus.

"There's no violent extremist element, organizational element on the left, that would justify the expenditure of these resources," he told CNN. Duffin was among many State Department officials who worked on counterterrorism who were fired last year as part of the administration's mass firings and overhaul of the department.

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Last November, the administration designated four European Antifa groups as terrorists. Throughout Trump's second term, his administration has also ramped up domestic pressure against alleged far-left extremists.

Trump designated the anti-fascist movement Antifa as a so-called "domestic terrorist organization." Despite claims that Antifa is a top concern domestically, law enforcement agencies have struggled to define the amorphous group, its size, locations of chapters and other basic information.

This story has been updated with additional information.

CNN's Holmes Lybrand contributed to this report.

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The Hill

The Memo: Troubles crowd in on Trump as he prepares for address

Niall Stanage
5 min read
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President Trump is getting ready to address the nation on Thursday evening, but the speech comes as his political troubles are piling up.

The war on Iran, unpopular since its inception, has been restarted at Trump's behest. A new Economist/YouGov poll shows 65 percent of Americans wanting an immediate deal to end the conflict, and 57 percent saying going to war in the first place was a mistake.

At home, Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) officers have recently killed two people in a six-day span, reigniting impassioned debates over the agency's behavior and Trump's immigration policies.

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In the courts, a judge earlier this week slammed Trump and his allies, in essence accusing them of self-dealing in a ruling over his legal case against the IRS and Treasury Department.

Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche faced tough questioning on the matter from senators on Wednesday as he sought confirmation to a permanent role.

Trump's poll ratings remain at a low ebb, too. The president earlier this week proclaimed on social media that he had a "59% Approval Rating." It's unclear what his post was based on, since the truth is almost exactly the opposite.

In the polling average maintained by data expert Nate Silver, 57 percent of Americans disapprove of Trump's job performance while only 40 percent approve.

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There's one more complication as well. On Tuesday, Trump suggested that his speech would address claims of fraud in the 2020 election. 

"It's really, really big news," he promised Tuesday. "It doesn't get bigger, because without free and fair elections, you don't have a country." 

His record on this subject is awash in falsehoods, however — something that has led opponents to argue TV networks should not carry his speech, if this is to be its main topic.

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) told reporter Pablo Manríquez on Tuesday: "I don't think that we should be contributing to any platforming of lies about our election. … I think that we have an ethical obligation to not air things that undermine our elections, that are not rooted in evidence and fact."

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Some Trump allies are suggesting speculation the president will focus solely on the 2020 election is unwarranted, however.

Trump himself told reporters in the Oval Office on Tuesday that the address would focus on "a couple of other things" in addition to elections. The question of Iran will hang over the president's remarks, whether he addresses the topic with any depth or not.

The administration formally told Congress in recent days hostilities have resumed with Iran, in effect giving the president another 60 days on the clock before he would have to seek explicit congressional approval for the use of force against the Islamic Republic.

Trump has cast the resumption of hostilities as a response to Iranian mendacity. 

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"They want to make a deal, but every time they make a deal, they break it," the president told Trey Yingst of Fox News in a Tuesday interview.

It remains doubtful whether new U.S. military actions can force the Iranians to accept more concessions than they did under the memorandum of understanding (MOU) that the combatants agreed upon last month. 

Trump faced some criticism from his right flank over the MOU, with hawkish voices complaining that it was too generous to Tehran.

All that being said, there are some potential upsides to Trump in delivering the speech.

A primetime address by its very nature underlines the advantages he enjoys in terms of the bully pulpit. He could, at least in theory, frame the resumption of hostilities in Iran in a more compelling way than he has so far. GOP colleagues would clearly be grateful if he began making the case for the party in the midterms.

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"Voters are saying overwhelmingly that what they care about is what they spend every day of their lives," said GOP strategist Doug Heye, a former communications director with the Republican National Committee. "That is priority No. 1, 2 and 3 for them."

Against that, contemporary political culture has shifted since the time when big presidential speeches were viewed as rare opportunities to communicate in an unmediated way with the electorate. 

Trump communicates in unfiltered fashion almost every day through his social media posts and his frequent impromptu remarks during White House events. Whatever the upsides and downsides of that approach, the overall effect means it is harder for a presidential speech to have the impact it once did.

"It's almost like a rerun even though the content will be different," said Tobe Berkovitz, a Boston University professor emeritus who specializes in political communications. "Trump spends so much time talking to the media and talking to the public. The difference between him popping out on Air Force One to talk to reporters or popping out to deliver a major address is irrelevant to most people. It's just Trump speaking."

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There is an added complication, too. Trump's sometimes meandering or repetitive communication style can backfire easily. A primetime address about Iran at the start of April received mixed reviews at best, with detractors contending the president said little that was new.

There is also the ever-present possibility he could ignite new controversies. One obvious potential subject is immigration. 

On Wednesday, Trump appeared to countermand an order for ICE to pause most traffic stops, following the killings of Joan Sebastian Guerrero in Biddeford, Maine, on Monday and of Lorenzo Salgado Araujo in Houston the previous Tuesday, July 7. Both men were killed in ICE traffic stops.

Trump insisted in his social media post that, while ICE needed to be "judicious, fair and smart," the administration "CANNOT give up one of I.C.E.'s most important and effective Crime Fighting tools, THE TRAFFIC STOP!"

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Immigration is one of the more complicated issues for Trump, given that he has reduced the flow of unauthorized migrants at the southwestern border to a trickle while at the same time ICE actions have sparked major backlash.

For the moment, the only sure thing about Thursday's speech seems to be that Trump will address the 2020 election in some shape or form. 

It is much more doubtful whether he will change anyone's mind.

The Memo is a reported column by Niall Stanage.

Copyright 2026 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

 For the latest news, weather, sports, and streaming video, head to The Hill. 

House Republicans unveil a $95 billion plan for the Iran war, farm aid and elections
Associated Press
Trump uses primetime address to raise doubts about US elections ahead of midterms
Associated Press
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