Shares of Broadcom AVGO -0.49% ▼ fell more than 13% in pre-market trading on Thursday even after the chipmaker reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue. While the company raised its revenue outlook, investors appeared disappointed that its AI revenue forecast and profit margin guidance did not signal a bigger acceleration in growth. Concerns about weaker software revenue, lower margins, and rising inventory levels added to the pressure.
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Broadcom reported adjusted earnings of $2.44 per share for its fiscal second quarter, ahead of analysts’ estimates of $2.40. Revenue jumped 48% year-over-year to a record $22.19 billion, also topping expectations of $22.13 billion.
AI Business Continues to Shine
Broadcom’s AI business remained the biggest growth driver during the quarter.
AI semiconductor revenue surged 143% year-over-year to a record $10.8 billion, exceeding the company’s own forecast. The growth was driven by strong demand for custom AI accelerators and networking products used in AI data centers.
The company also reported record revenue, operating profit, and free cash flow for the quarter.
So Why Did Investors Sell?
The biggest concern was Broadcom’s outlook. While the company forecast third-quarter revenue of about $29.4 billion, above Wall Street’s estimate of $28.47 billion, investors were more focused on its AI revenue guidance. Broadcom expects AI semiconductor revenue to exceed $16 billion in the third quarter, representing growth of more than 200% from a year ago.
That would normally be considered a strong forecast. However, after months of excitement around AI spending and Broadcom’s rapid growth, some investors had been hoping for an even larger increase in the company’s AI outlook.
Investors were also disappointed that management maintained, rather than raised, its long-term target of generating more than $100 billion in AI semiconductor revenue by fiscal 2027. Another concern was profitability. Broadcom projected an adjusted EBITDA margin of 68% for the third quarter, below analyst expectations of roughly 70%.
Beyond guidance, investors found a few weaker spots in the quarter. Infrastructure software revenue rose 9% year-over-year to $7.18 billion but missed some Wall Street expectations. Gross margin also declined to 77.1% from 79.4% a year earlier as lower-margin AI chips accounted for a larger share of sales.
Taken together, those factors overshadowed Broadcom’s earnings beat and record AI revenue growth.
Is AVGO Stock a Buy?
Turning to Wall Street, analysts have a Strong Buy consensus rating on AVGO stock based on 25 Buys, three Holds, and zero Sells assigned in the past three months, as indicated by the graphic below. Furthermore, the average AVGO price target of $490.64 per share implies that shares are trading near fair value.