Alphabet: The Outperformance Opportunity Has Moved To A New Mag 7 Company

Michael B Howard
1.17K Followers

Summary

  • Alphabet has rapidly achieved market cap dominance over Microsoft, far sooner than anticipated.
  • GOOGL's valuation now reflects AI dominance of OpenAI and a strong work ethos, both of which are nonexistent.
  • Despite meeting high-quality investment criteria, I exited GOOGL, believing capital could be better deployed elsewhere given its current risk/reward.
  • Competitive threats in AI, cloud, and autonomous vehicles challenge GOOGL's ability to convert potential into profit.
  • Google and Microsoft should be valued similarly.

Generative AI Apps

hapabapa/iStock Editorial via Getty Images

It's hard to believe how quickly a status quo can change. For months, investors have been experiencing a very steady upwards move in earnings, valuations, and hence, stock prices.

I noted in my article

Quick Insights

  • GOOGL's valuation now embeds substantial future expectations, and I believe reallocating capital offers superior risk-adjusted returns compared to holding at current levels.
  • GOOGL's robotics and Waymo divisions remain unprofitable, while competitors like TSLA and Figure have market-ready robots, and Uber leads in robotaxis, highlighting execution risk.
  • Monitor GOOGL's progress in monetizing AI, cloud, and autonomous vehicles, as well as its ability to defend share against Amazon, Microsoft, OpenAI, and Tesla in these domains.

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About GOOGL Stock

SymbolLast Price% Chg
GOOGL
391.890.77%
Chart
Combination chart with 2 data series.
The chart has 1 X axis displaying Time. Data ranges from 2026-05-22 09:30:00 to 2026-05-27 09:50:00.
The chart has 1 Y axis displaying values. Data ranges from 382.2 to 389.64.
End of interactive chart.
Market Cap
$4.69T
PE (FWD)
27.32
Yield
0.22%
Rev Growth (YoY)
17.45%
Short Interest
1.30%
Prev. Close
$388.88

Related Stocks

SymbolLast Price% Chg
GOOG
387.520.70%
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391.460.66%
GOOG:CA
61.65-0.08%
Chart
Line chart with 3 lines.
The chart has 1 X axis displaying Time. Data ranges from 2026-05-21 09:30:00 to 2026-05-27 09:50:00.
The chart has 1 Y axis displaying values. Data ranges from -1.04 to 1.81.
End of interactive chart.
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