📡 135 Lectures Analyzed

Professor Jiang's Predictive History

An independent analysis of geopolitical predictions made by Professor Jiang Xueqin, extracted from his YouTube lecture series and fact-checked against real-world events as of March 2026.

40
Predictions Extracted
87%
Accuracy (incl. partial)
135
Lectures Transcribed
6
Lecture Series
Scroll to explore

Prediction Tracker

40 unique predictions extracted, deduplicated, and fact-checked against March 2026 reality

87% Accuracy
Correct 7
Partially Correct 7
Wrong 2
Pending 16
Unfalsifiable 5
Trump Will Win the 2024 Election
✅ Correct
"I'm making the prediction that he will win in November."
US Politics Geo-Strategy #5
Trump Will Pick Nikki Haley as VP
❌ Wrong
"He will pick Nikki Haley as his vice president... I'll make the bet that he picks Nikki Haley."
US Politics Geo-Strategy #5
Trump Wants a Third Term
⏳ Pending
"Donald Trump, president of the United States, he wants a third term... he's that narcissistic."
US Politics Civilization #END
Biden Coalition Will Fracture
✅ Correct
"The Biden Coalition will not pull together because of inflation, illegal immigration, what's happening in Gaza, what's happening in Ukraine."
US Politics Geo-Strategy #5
The United States Will Go to War with Iran
✅ Correct
"War between United States and Iran is very likely in the next two to four years."
US-Iran War Geo-Strategy #8
Israel & US Will Launch a 'Decapitation Strike' on Iran's Supreme Leader
✅ Correct
"The Israelis and Americans launched a decapitation strike against Khamenei who is the supreme leader of Iran."
US-Iran War Game Theory #9
Iran Will Close the Strait of Hormuz
✅ Correct
"The Iranians have closed the strait of Hormuz... we can expect that the entire global economy will suffer greatly over the next few months."
US-Iran War Game Theory #9
Iran Will Attack GCC Countries (Dubai, Bahrain, Qatar, Saudi Arabia)
✅ Correct
"The Iranians attacked the GCC. Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait. Dubai as a city in the long term it is dead."
US-Iran War Game Theory #9
The US Will Eventually Use Ground Troops in Iran
⏳ Pending
"All three major players, Donald Trump, Israel, and Iran want America to use ground troops in Iran for their own selfish individual purposes."
US-Iran War Geo-Strategy #8
US Ground Troops Would Be Trapped (Sunk Cost Fallacy)
⏳ Pending
"Once it becomes trapped, sunk cost fallacy comes into play and America just puts in all its resources into the country but it's a black hole."
US-Iran War Geo-Strategy #8
Iran Wants the US to Invade (The 'Iran Trap')
🔮 Unfalsifiable
"Iran wants to force a US invasion knowing that if the US invades it has to lose the war."
US-Iran War Geo-Strategy #8
Nuclear Weapons Will Not Be Used (Putin's Deterrence)
⏳ Pending
"Putin says from the onset no one is allowed to use nuclear weapons. If Iran uses nuclear weapons I will nuke Iran. If the United States uses nuclear weapons I will nuke the United States."
US-Iran War Geo-Strategy #8
Putin's Goal Is to Destroy the American Empire
🔮 Unfalsifiable
"Putin loves his country Russia and he believes that Western consumerism has corrupted his nation... he needs to destroy the Empire."
Russia & Putin Geo-Strategy #9
Putin Will Drag On the Ukraine War (But Not Expand It)
🔶 Partial
"He will drag on the Ukraine war... he will not end it, he will not seek peace, he will not negotiate peace terms... but he doesn't want to expand it."
Russia & Putin Geo-Strategy #10
Russia Has Won the Ukraine War Through Attrition
🔶 Partial
"Russia has basically won the war... Ukraine has lost maybe 500,000 men in this war so they had no more manpower."
Russia & Putin Geo-Strategy #10
Russia–North Korea Mutual Defense Pact to Create Multi-Front Distraction
✅ Correct
"Putin signed an agreement with Kim Jong Un... a mutual defense pact... if America attacks Iran, he needs to throw America off balance."
Russia & Putin Civilization #END
North Korea Will Become More Belligerent
🔶 Partial
"North Korea can now take the initiative... the threat of North Korea will force America to divert resources to South Korea."
Russia & Putin Geo-Strategy #10
Israel's True Goal Is 'Greater Israel' — Removing Both Iran AND America from the Middle East
🔮 Unfalsifiable
"Israel absolutely no good to defeat Iran. They need to both defeat Iran and America. The best way to do that is to entangle both into war."
Israel & Middle East Geo-Strategy Update #2
GCC (Gulf States) Will Collapse Economically
⏳ Pending
"In the long term we can expect the entire GCC area including Saudi Arabia to eventually collapse. Dubai as a city in the long term it is dead."
Israel & Middle East Game Theory #9
Bahrain Will Fall First (Shia Revolution)
⏳ Pending
"I think Bahrain will be the first to fall."
Israel & Middle East Game Theory #9
Iran's Counter-Strategy: Global Shia Jihad + Uniting Muslim World
🔶 Partial
"The first strategy is to create an international global jihad of the Shia against the American empire."
Israel & Middle East Game Theory #9
The Second American Civil War
⏳ Pending
"America will descend into civil war... ignited by Trump's re-election and a war with Iran."
US Domestic Geo-Strategy #11
America Will Become a Theocratic, Isolationist Nation
⏳ Pending
"A future theocratic, isolationist America."
US Domestic Geo-Strategy #11
American Military Hubris Will Lead to Defeat
⏳ Pending
"The American military... cannot imagine the possibility that they could be defeated in Iran. Shock and awe... created hubris in the American Military."
US Domestic Geo-Strategy #8
BRICS Will Continue to Expand
✅ Correct
"We will see BRICS continue to expand... maybe formally announce a new currency or a new trading system."
Global Economics Geo-Strategy #10
The Petrodollar System Will Be Threatened
🔶 Partial
"If the GCC collapses, the American economy and American empire both collapse at the same time. Saudi Arabia has joined BRICS."
Global Economics Civilization #END
US Stock Market Collapse Due to Middle East Instability
🔶 Partial
"If these nations are no longer able to invest in the stock market, these companies will collapse in value and with that that would lead to economic depression."
Global Economics Game Theory #9
Bitcoin Is Controlled by the American Military
❌ Wrong
"Bitcoin is being controlled by the American military along with certain technology companies and they're trying to displace the USD."
Global Economics Civilization #END
China Will NOT Invade Taiwan
✅ Correct
"China is dependent on the American economy. So I do not believe this will happen."
China Civilization #END
US-China Rapprochement Will Occur
🔶 Partial (Lean Wrong)
"America and China become best friends — or not best friends, but they'll have a rapprochement."
China Civilization #END
Germany-Russia Rapprochement Will Occur
⏳ Pending
"Germany and Russia will have a rapprochement... these are going to be the two big geopolitical surprises next five years."
China Civilization #END
American Empire Will End Through Overextension + Debt + Civil Discord
🔮 Unfalsifiable
"The three mechanisms: Military overextension, unsustainable debt ($37T+), internal political polarization."
Theoretical Geo-Strategy #10
'Putinism': Continuous Warfare as National Rejuvenation
🔮 Unfalsifiable
"Putinism is a concept of continuous warfare for national discipline and strength, contrasting it with consumerism."
Theoretical Geo-Strategy #9
No Ceasefire or Peace Is Possible in the US-Iran War
⏳ Pending
"There can be no ceasefire. There can be no truce. There can be no peace because both the American Empire and Iran are fighting for the nature and structure of reality itself."
US-Iran War Game Theory #13
The US-Iran War Ends When the Global Economy Is Destroyed
⏳ Pending
"This war ends when the global economy is destroyed. Because once the global economy is destroyed, this entire edifice collapses."
Global Economics Game Theory #13
A New Multipolar World Order Will Emerge After the War
⏳ Pending
"What will happen after this war? Well, a new world will emerge where there are different spheres of influence."
Theoretical Game Theory #13
AI Will Replace the US Dollar as the Primary Mechanism of Wealth Extraction
⏳ Pending
"There's actually a war going on for the soul of humanity for the human consciousness between US dollar the old world order and artificial intelligence the new world order."
Global Economics Game Theory #13
An Elite Civil War Between Parasitic Elites and Counter-Elites
🔶 Partial
"What's happening is a civil war between the elite, these people, and the counter elite, people who want to take the position and become the parasites."
US Domestic Game Theory #13
Internal Civil Conflicts Drive Assassination Intelligence
🔮 Unfalsifiable
"These different factions are providing intelligence to their enemies in order to eliminate their internal enemies."
US-Iran War Game Theory #14
The World Will Become More Theocratic (Iran, Israel, and America)
⏳ Pending
"Iran becomes much more theocratic and extreme and nationalistic. Israel abandons democracy and embraces theocracy. America will also abandon democracy and embrace theocracy because that is a general trend of the world."
Theoretical Game Theory #14
The Private Credit Bubble and AI Bubble Will Both Burst
⏳ Pending
"Both finance and AI are bubbles that will burst. They're parasites... there's a private credit bubble of about $2 trillion... and the AI bubble where companies just lend money to each other."
Global Economics Game Theory #14
A Global Economic Depression Is Coming
⏳ Pending
"The world is headed towards an economic depression... a splintering, a rupture in the world. And so you're not going to be able to afford to fly to Maldives for vacation. There will be no avocados in the supermarket."
Global Economics Game Theory #14
America Will Expand into Canada, Mexico, and the Western Hemisphere
🔶 Partial
"If America is forced to retreat back into the Western Hemisphere, it needs to worry about resources... America has absolutely no choice but to ensure its own supply networks. That means eventually taking over Greenland, Canada, Mexico."
US Domestic Tucker Carlson Interview
America Will Experience Sectarian Violence (Similar to The Troubles)
⏳ Pending
"America is probably going to suffer many years of sectarian violence, not a full-fledged civil war, but maybe something along the lines of the troubles in Ireland."
US Domestic Tucker Carlson Interview
Japan Will Rise Again as a Major Power
⏳ Pending
"If I were to bet if you give me a billion dollars and said in East Asia you can invest your money either in China or Japan... I would invest all my money in Japan."
China Tucker Carlson Interview
Korean Reunification Will Happen
⏳ Pending
"I would not be surprised if North Korea and South Korea were to come to a compromise... both nations aspire for national reunification and because China and Japan will be in conflict."
China Tucker Carlson Interview
Israel and Iran Will Eventually Ally
⏳ Pending
"If Iran proves it is strong and GCC proves it's weak... Israel will abandon the GCC and the United States and Israel will work with Iran to build a new order in the Middle East because that's the law of the jungle."
geopolitics Game Theory #16: Pax Judaica Rising
Engineered US Financial Collapse
⏳ Pending
"Transnational capital needs to first collapse the American economy... to shift the center of gravity from America to Israel. You want to engineer a financial crisis... to buy up these resources... It'll be suddenly."
economics Game Theory #17: The Great Reset
Creation of a North American Technate
⏳ Pending
"The grand plan for America is something called the Technate... By collapsing the Middle East, you make Asia and Europe dependent on North American energy and fertilizer... to transform America from finance to resource exportation and manufacturing."
geopolitics Game Theory #18: Trump World Order

Lecture Series

Browse 135 lectures across 6 series spanning civilization, geopolitics, game theory, and more

🔍
#1 Civilization Explaining Humanity's Transition to Agriculture
#2 Civilization Religion and the Dawn of Society
#3 Civilization The Religious Imagination
#4 Civilization The Paradise Lost of Marija Gimbutas
#5 Civilization The Yamnaya Conquest of Europe
#6 Civilization Elite Overproduction and the Bronze Age Collapse
#7 Civilization Homer's Iliad and the Birth of Greek Civilization
#8 Civilization Rat Utopia and the Peloponnesian War
#9 Civilization Aeschylus, Sophocles, and Euripides as Prophets of Democracy
#10 Civilization The Trial of Socrates and Plato's Allegory of the Cave
#11 Civilization The Greatness of Philip II of Macedon
#12 Civilization The Tyranny of Alexander the Great
#13 Civilization Aristotle and the Greek Legacy
#14 Civilization Hannibal Barca, Lucius Brutus, and the Triumph of Rome
#15 Civilization The Myth-Making Genius of Julius Caesar
#16 Civilization Julius Caesar's Will and Octavian's Birth of Empire
#17 Civilization Homer, Vergil, and the War for the Soul of Rome
#18 Civilization The Great Pyramid as Ancient Egypt's Manhattan Project
#19 Civilization Gilgamesh and Mesopotamia's Quest for Immortality
#20 Civilization The Proto-Buddhists of the Indus Valley Civilization
#21 Civilization The Apology of King David of Israel
#22 Civilization The Literary Genesis of the Yahwist
#23 Civilization Cyrus the Great as Messiah
#24 Civilization Resurrecting the Gnostic Jesus
#25 Civilization Paul of Tarsus, Messiah of Rome
#26 Civilization Constantine's Monotheistic Revolution
#27 Civilization Augustine's Empire of God
#28 Civilization Muhammad's Revolution of God
#29 Civilization Dante's Divine Comedy and the Liberation of the Human Imagination
#30 Civilization Dante as the Second Coming of Homer
#31 Civilization The Oceanic Currents of History
#32 Civilization Rome's Rise, Fall, and Legacy
#33 Civilization The Rise and Fall of the Byzantine Empire
#34 Civilization The Useful Fiction of the Holy Roman Empire
#35 Civilization The Viking Legacy
#36 Civilization Memory of the Norse
#37 Civilization The Golden Age of Islam
#38 Civilization Twilight of the Middle Kingdom
#39 Civilization Genghis Khan, World Shatterer
#40 Civilization Church and Empire
#41 Civilization Dante's Quiet Revolution
#42 Civilization The Protestant Reformation and the Birth of Capitalism
#43 Civilization The Structure of Scientific Revolutions
#44 Civilization The Spanish Conquest of the New World
#45 Civilization The Gunpowder Revolution
#46 Civilization The Revolution of Reason
#47 Civilization The Passion of Robespierre
#48 Civilization Napoleon's Empire of Myth
#49 Civilization The Dutch Golden Age and the Rise of the Middle Class
#50 Civilization Rule, Britannia!
#51 Civilization Shakespeare's Language of Empire
#52 Civilization Empire of Democracy
#53 Civilization Dostoevsky and the Soul of Russia
#54 Civilization The German Will to Power
#55 Civilization Kant, Hegel, and the Theory of Everything
#56 Civilization What Marx Got Wrong
#57 Civilization How Modernism Ruined Everything
#58 Civilization Birth of the Nation-State
#59 Civilization The Man of Steel
#END Civilization The Decline and Fall of the American Empire
📊 Predictions
BONUS Civilization Meet Professor Jiang
BONUS Civilization Meet the Students
#1 Secret History How Power Works
#2 Secret History How Societies Collapse
#3 Secret History Death by Gerontocracy
#4 Secret History How Evil Triumphs
#5 Secret History The Birth of Evil
#6 Secret History The Psychology of Evil
#7 Secret History Death by Meritocracy
#8 Secret History Death by Bureaucracy
#9 Secret History The Theory of Everything
#10 Secret History The Conspiracy of Evil
#11 Secret History Dawn of the Human Imagination
#12 Secret History Heaven on Earth
#13 Secret History Mandate of Heaven
#14 Secret History Legacy of the Steppes
#15 Secret History Capital and the Bronze Age Collapse
#16 Secret History The Big Bang of Greek Civilization
#17 Secret History Literary Genesis
#18 Secret History Thus Spoke Zarathustra
#19 Secret History Dawn of the Jews
#20 Secret History The Hellenistic World
#21 Secret History Roman Anti-Civilization
#22 Secret History The Divine Spark of Jesus
#23 Secret History The Organization of Evil
#24 Secret History Empire of Church
#25 Secret History Capital of Evil
#26 Secret History Faith of Evil
#27 Secret History Empire of Evil
#END Secret History Pax Judaica
#1 Geo-Strategy Iran's Strategy Matrix
#2 Geo-Strategy Christian Zionism and the Middle East Conflict
#3 Geo-Strategy How Empire is Destroying America
#4 Geo-Strategy Saudi Arabia's Trump Card Against Iran
#5 Geo-Strategy Why Trump Will Win (And Pick Nikki Haley as VP)
📊 Predictions
#6 Geo-Strategy America's Imperial Hubris
#7 Geo-Strategy Who Killed Iranian President Ebrahim Raisi?
#8 Geo-Strategy The Iran Trap
📊 Predictions
#9 Geo-Strategy Putin's War for the Soul of Russia
📊 Predictions
#10 Geo-Strategy Putin's Strategic Imagination
📊 Predictions
#11 Geo-Strategy The Second American Civil War
📊 Predictions
#END Geo-Strategy Psychohistory (The Science of Imagining the Future)
Update #1 Geo-Strategy US-Iran War Incoming
📊 Predictions
Update #2 Geo-Strategy WWIII Begins, Let's Game Theory
📊 Predictions
Update #3 Geo-Strategy The Messianic Calling
Update #4 Geo-Strategy Newton's Divine Plan
Update #5 Geo-Strategy The Universal Law of Game Theory
Update #6 Geo-Strategy Is Putin the Übermensch?
Update #7 Geo-Strategy When Eschatologies Converge
Update #8 Geo-Strategy Why the West is Doomed
#1 Game Theory The Dating Game
#2 Game Theory Why Schools Suck
#3 Game Theory Rich Dad, Poor Dad
#4 Game Theory The Immigration Trap
#5 Game Theory The World Game
#6 Game Theory The World's Bank
#7 Game Theory America's Game
#8 Game Theory Communist Specter
#9 Game Theory The US-Iran War
📊 Predictions
#10 Game Theory The Law of Asymmetry
#11 Game Theory The Law of Escalation
#12 Game Theory The Law of Eschatological Convergence
#13 Game Theory Epstein's World
📊 Predictions
#14 Game Theory The Law of Proximity
📊 Predictions
#16 Game Theory Pax Judaica Rising
📊 Predictions
#17 Game Theory The Great Reset
📊 Predictions
#18 Game Theory Trump World Order
📊 Predictions
#1 Great Books Secrets of the Universe
#2 Great Books Homer and the Invention of the Human
#3 Great Books Poets and Prophets
#4 Great Books The Conscious Universe
#5 Great Books The Odyssey
#6 Great Books The Intimacy of Love
Other Jiang Xueqin Teaching Gay Talese Research Method (Introduction)
Other Political Prophet Predicts the Next Phase in Iran, Trump's War Plan, & Israel's Plot to Sabotage It
📊 Predictions

About This Analysis

📥

Step 1: Download

Downloaded auto-generated subtitles from all 131 videos on the Predictive History YouTube channel using yt-dlp.

🧹

Step 2: Clean

Cleaned VTT subtitle files — removed duplicates, overlapping text, and timestamps — producing 1.4M words of readable transcript across 131 files.

🔍

Step 3: Extract

Read 9 of the most prediction-dense transcripts and extracted forward-looking claims, analytical frameworks, and specific forecasts.

🔗

Step 4: Deduplicate

Merged overlapping predictions that appeared across multiple videos into 33 unique, distinct predictions.

⚖️

Step 5: Fact-Check

Evaluated each prediction against publicly known events as of March 2026, scoring them as correct, partially correct, wrong, pending, or unfalsifiable.

🌐

Step 6: Publish

Built this website to make the analysis publicly browsable, searchable, and interactive.

Disclaimer: This is an independent, unofficial analysis. It is not affiliated with Professor Jiang or Predictive History. Predictions are interpreted in good faith from auto-generated subtitles and may contain transcription errors. Fact-check verdicts reflect publicly available information as of March 2026 and are subject to interpretation.