• Trump is projected to win Pennsylvania and is closing in on the 270 electoral votes needed to defeat Harris. Get live-updating presidential election results.
• Republicans are projected to take control of the Senate. The House has not been called.

MOSCOW — Russian officials could not contain their glee Wednesday morning at Donald Trump’s likely presidential victory.

“Kamala Harris was right when she quoted Psalm 30:5: ‘Weeping may remain in the night, but joy comes in the morning,’” Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova wrote on Telegram. “Hallelujah, I would add for myself.”

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu congratulated Donald Trump on “history’s greatest comeback.” The Israeli leader has long made his preference for the former president clear. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who relies heavily on U.S. support in its war with Russia, was also quick to congratulate Trump, appreciating his commitment to the “peace through strength” approach in global affairs.

A large crowd is singing “How Great Thou Art” inside the Palm Beach County Convention Center in West Palm Beach, Florida. “Then sings my soul, my savior God to thee. How great Thou art, how great Thou art.” Others are whooping and hollering as they enter the Florida night.

PHOENIX — In Arizona, whose 11 electoral votes were still up for grabs, former president Donald Trump was leading Vice President Kamala Harris by more than 11,000 votes as of midnight Pacific time, with about half the votes still to be counted.

Donald Trump reiterated in his speech that he intends to appoint Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to a major role within his administration, specifically focused on health, saying that “he’s going to help make America healthy again.”

Trump also emphasized that he does not want Kennedy, an environmental lawyer, to have a role in steering energy policy.

“Stay away from the liquid gold,” Trump said, echoing his usual stump speech. “Other than that, go have a good time Bobby.”

Kennedy earlier this week pledged that a future Trump administration would seek to remove fluoride from drinking water, reversing a decades-old intervention widely credited for boosting public health.

Donald Trump appeared to mourn the fact that this was his last political campaign and his rallies were coming to an end. He said he would “never be doing a rally again.”

“Now we’re going on to something that’s far more important, he added, “because the rallies were used for us to be put in this position.”

After a meandering speech claiming victory as he neared the electoral votes needed to win the presidency, Donald Trump tried to strike a different tone than he has in recent days as he lashed out at political opponents, including Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-California). He said it was time “to put the divisions of the past four years behind us” and “unite.”

“Success is going to bring us together,” Trump said. “I will not let you down. America’s future will be bigger, better, bolder, richer, safer and stronger than it has ever been before.”

Donald Trump referenced his two assassination attempts: “Many people have told me that God spared my life for a reason. And that reason was to save our country and to restore America to greatness,” Trump said. “Now we are going to fulfill that mission together.”

Donald Trump once again praised entrepreneur Elon Musk, who has campaigned extensively for Trump while helping fund a super PAC that helped fuel the former president’s ground game. “We have a new star. A star is born. Elon,” Trump said. He called Musk “a character” and “a special guy.”

“He’s a super genius,” Trump said. “We have to protect our geniuses. We don’t have that many of them.”

Donald Trump’s speech is starting to sound a lot like his rally speeches. He’s gone on an extended riff about Elon Musk, saying of the billionaire CEO: “A star is born.” He recounts an anecdote he often tells on the trail about Musk helping with Hurricane Helene.

Adding Pennsylvania to his wins in Georgia and North Carolina means Donald Trump will in all likelihood reach the 270 electoral votes required. The Post’s presidential forecast puts Trump as favored to win the electoral college with as many as 313 votes.

The only reason we can’t say that with certainty is that we’re still waiting for calls in Alaska (3 electoral votes) and Maine’s 2nd Congressional District (1 electoral vote), even as Trump leads both by large margins.

The crowd cheers “JD” as Donald Trump’s running mate, Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio) takes the stage. Trump says that Vance “ended up being a good choice,” acknowledging that he “took a little heat” initially for adding him to the ticket.

Even Donald Trump sounded surprised by the margins that he is leading by in many of the key battleground states. “Look what happened. Is this crazy?” Trump said. “It’s a political victory that our country has never seen before.” Trump called out his win in North Carolina and predicted that he might ultimately top at least 315 electoral votes. “This will truly be the golden age of America,” he said. “This is a magnificent victory for the American people that will allow us to make America great again.”

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban is already celebrating a possible Donald Trump win.

“The biggest comeback in US political history! Congratulations to President @realDonaldTrump on his enormous win. A much needed victory for the World!” the illiberal Hungarian leader, who has relished his role as Trump’s favorite European ally, wrote on X before Tuesday’s election was officially called.

Trump has repeatedly praised Orban, who has co-opted his country’s courts, attacked nongovernmental organizations and muzzled his critics.

There is a huge contingent of family and staff with Donald Trump onstage, including his daughter Ivanka Trump, who has not been campaigning. His wife, Melania, stood next to him, after being barely visible on the campaign trail. Trump told the crowd his wife’s book is a bestseller, then gave her a kiss.

Donald Trump claimed victory in West Palm Beach, Florida, early Wednesday, telling his supporters that he had overcome “obstacles that nobody thought possible” while leading “the greatest political movement of all time.”

The Washington Post has not yet called the race, but Trump is leading in many of the key battleground states and is edging toward victory.

As he closed in on the 270 electoral votes he needed to clinch the presidency, Donald Trump took the stage in Palm Beach, Florida, for his election night speech.

“This is a movement like nobody’s ever seen before,” he said.

LAS VEGAS — As Fox News hosts called Pennsylvania for Donald Trump, a woman in an American flag-patterned dress and leather jacket stood on a chair at the Nevada GOP watch party at the Ahern Hotel in Las Vegas and burst into tears.

WEST PALM BEACH, Fla. — In a sign of just how close Donald Trump’s aides expected the election night results could be, they arranged for the former president to have a private area at his gilded Mar-a-Lago Club to process the results — “where the world doesn’t have access to him,” as one adviser put it.

At this point, Donald Trump has many plausible paths to victory, while Kamala Harris appears to have one — and one that will require some comebacks.

But for now, all eyes are on Pennsylvania, where Trump leads by three points with an estimated 94 percent of the vote counted. If Trump wins there, he just needs one more electoral vote, which he could easily get in Maine’s 2nd Congressional District. (He currently leads there by double digits.)

Among the seats Republicans were projected to flip Tuesday night was that of three-term Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) in Ohio, with car dealer Bernie Moreno’s win helping to deliver Republicans the Senate majority. Moreno painted Brown, the chair of the Senate Banking Committee, as an ultra liberal, and was boosted by millions of dollars in advertising money from the crypto industry. Brown unsuccessfully tried to boost liberal turnout in the red state by criticizing Moreno for his comments mocking older women who vote on the issue of abortion rights.

This is quite the somber finish for supporters of Vice President Kamala Harris at Howard University in Washington, D.C. Thousands dispersed after hearing Harris would not speak here in the early hours of Wednesday. The main lawn, just hours ago crowded with thousands dancing and waving American flags, is littered with crushed water bottles and empty Chick-fil-A bags.

Trump has now added Georgia to his win in North Carolina. And it’s looking increasingly possible he could win the race relatively soon.

Donald Trump’s win in North Carolina and his steady lead in Georgia have turned attention to the “blue wall” — the northern trio of swing states that appear to be Kamala Harris’s best (and maybe only) hope of somehow pulling out a win.

That northern trio: Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. Harris could win if she carries all three and Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District. The bad news for Democrats is those states don’t look great, either.

Top donors are pouring into the convention center here in Palm Beach, Florida. The mood is absolutely jubilant. It appears Donald Trump is going to speak soon. Trump spent much of the night at his club, joined by Elon Musk and Ultimate Fighting Championship CEO Dana White, among others, a person who was there said.

Former congressman Cedric Richmond, a co-chair of Kamala Harris’s campaign, said the vice president will not speak at Howard University in the early morning hours of Wednesday, but she will address the crowd later on Wednesday.

WEST DES MOINES — As polling places closed around their state Tuesday evening, a gathering of a close-knit group of friends had been boisterous and loud, loading hot pizza onto Iowa Hawkeyes-themed paper plates and cheerfully recounting how a recent poll had given them newfound optimism for Kamala Harris’s chances in their red state.

A couple of small groups of attendees at Kamala Harris’s event at Howard University were seen huddling together in the crowd holding hands and appeared to be praying together.

Republican Bernie Moreno, who is projected to have defeated incumbent Democratic Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown, used his victory speech Tuesday to mock Senate Majority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-New York).

We’re tracking how groups of urban, suburban and rural counties are moving in the seven crucial battleground states. In 2020, Joe Biden won, in large part, because he narrowly outperformed Donald Trump in these swing states’ suburban counties. As of midnight Eastern, we’re seeing most groups in Georgia, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin shift toward the Republicans.

The head of the federal agency responsible for protecting election infrastructure said late Tuesday that the system had performed well, despite bomb threats that caused evacuations and delays in Georgia and other swing states.

Jen Easterly said in a briefing to reporters that the potential for such disruptions had featured in drills that her Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency had conducted with state and local election officials.

The optimistic energy felt earlier Tuesday night at Howard University was quite a contrast to the vibe later that evening, as the mood fluctuated between nail-biting anxiety and hopeful anticipation. Several groups of attendees sat on the ground as they waited for Vice President Kamala Harris to make her address. The DJ had stopped playing music and a broadcast of CNN’s race calls played on the jumbotron, showing Donald Trump was projected to have won Ohio, widening his electoral lead over Harris.

Republicans have very likely flipped control of the Senate thanks to Republican Bernie Moreno’s defeat of Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) in the Ohio Senate race and Sen. Ted Cruz’s (R-Texas) recently called reelection win.

Democrats currently control the chamber 51-49, but Republicans have now flipped two seats, in Ohio and West Virginia. And Cruz’s win means Democratic candidates won’t flip any Republican-held seats.

Donald Trump’s win in North Carolina has improved his most likely paths to victory as he is also a slight favorite in our election forecast in four other swing states — Arizona, Georgia, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

With North Carolina in his column, Trump could win the presidency just by adding Georgia, Pennsylvania and Maine’s 2nd Congressional District. He’s favored in all of them.

Rep. Colin Allred (D-Texas) conceded defeat in his U.S. Senate race, with Republican incumbent Ted Cruz projected to win a third term.

“I ran for my boys, and I’m going to keep fighting for my boys’ future, and for every Texas kid’s future,” Allred told supporters in Dallas. “And I hope y’all will too.”

The polls are closing in Hawaii, a reliable Democratic pickup, and parts of Alaska. All polls in Alaska will close by 1 a.m.

This was published shortly after the Associated Press and Edison Research projected former president Donald Trump won the battleground state of North Carolina.

The Washington Post analyzed the most likely paths that Vice President Kamala Harris and former president Donald Trump have to win the presidency on Monday with the help of The Washington Post’s polling average.

When California was called for Vice President Kamala Harris at a party hosted by Oakland Area United Democrats in Oakland, California, the room erupted in cheers. But Christie James, like many in the room watching results trickle in, was growing worried. “I’m very nervous,” she said.

House Speaker Mike Johnson (R-Louisiana) and Republican Conference Chair Elise Stefanik (R-New York), the fourth-ranking House Republican, are leaving their respective districts to join Donald Trump in Palm Beach, Florida, tonight as early returns look strong for the former president. Rep. Tom Emmer (R-Minnesota) has been at Mar-a-Lago with Trump all evening.

Groans swept through the crowd at Howard University as they watched CNN call North Carolina for Donald Trump shortly before midnight. Some guests at Vice President Kamala Harris’s watch party are now sitting in the grass poring over their phones. The campaign has turned off CNN and flipped to the DJ, who is playing Tupac’s “California Love.”

A flurry of bomb threats slowed the voting process across at least four states Tuesday. Though there were no reports of credible threats, voting was disrupted in precincts in Georgia, Arizona, Pennsylvania and Michigan. Other threats have delayed counting as election offices were evacuated.

The FBI and state officials have blamed Russia as the source of at least some of the threats.

President Joe Biden called two more fellow Democrats, Angela Alsobrooks and Sarah McBride, to congratulate them on winning their races Tuesday night, according to the White House. Alsobrooks was projected to win an open Senate seat in Maryland, while McBride was projected to win the at-large House seat in Delaware, Biden’s home state. McBride will become the first openly transgender member of the House.

Groups that advocate for LGBTQ rights celebrated Sarah McBride’s projected election Tuesday night to Congress. McBride, a Democrat who is projected to have won in Delaware’s at-large district, will be the first openly transgender person in the U.S. House.

Rep. Andy Kim, the Democrat projected to win the New Jersey Senate race, told a room of supporters Tuesday that his win is the result of successful grassroots organizing.

“Look at what we’ve accomplished. … By most standards of what is possible, this moment should not be occurring,” Kim said. “A year ago, six years ago, few believed we could show what we [have] accomplished.”

Our Post Pulse forecast for control of the U.S. Senate is now live. And as seemed likely heading into the night, it shows Republicans slightly favored to win control of the chamber, which Democrats currently control 51-49.

Just before polls closed on the West Coast, I took a look at how county-level results had shifted relative to the 2016 and 2020 elections. While not every county has shifted to the right since 2016 or 2020, the average across county types — rural, large suburban, etc. — in places where a large chunk of the vote was already in shows that Trump has gained in the vote margin relative to his two prior candidacies in those places.

House Democrats have flipped their first seat of the night in New York’s 22nd district as John Mannion is projected to have beaten Republican incumbent Rep. Brandon Williams. Republicans and Democrats expected Mannion to beat Williams after redistricting.

The last polls close at 1 a.m. Eastern in parts of Alaska, but most states are already tabulating their results. Depending on a state’s rules, these vote totals might trickle in over the course of days or even weeks. We’re tracking how quickly each state is counting votes in this interactive map.

Trump is slightly favored to win Wisconsin but Harris still has a shot, according to The Post’s election forecast.

Trump leads Harris there 51 percent to 48 percent, with about 65 percent of the vote counted.

Trump won Wisconsin by less than a point in 2016. Biden carried it by less than a point in 2020.

Democrat Angela Alsobrooks will be Maryland’s first Black senator. The Prince George’s County executive triumphed, according to Associated Press and Edison Research projections, in the most expensive Senate race the state has ever seen against an unexpectedly competitive opponent, Republican former governor Larry Hogan. Alsobrooks successfully convinced voters that a Hogan victory would hand the GOP power to further restrict abortion access and advance the MAGA agenda.

Donald Trump is running stronger than his 2020 margins in the urban counties, where most of the vote is in: New York County (Manhattan) is showing a 9-point shift toward Trump with more than 96 percent counted. In North Carolina, Mecklenburg (Charlotte) is showing a 3-point shift toward Trump with more than 95 percent counted.

Many of Harris’s VIP guests, including friends and family, have moved out to the Yard awaiting her speech. The once-jubilant crowd is now quiet and tense, watching CNN on the Jumbotron as the anchors describe her challenges in Georgia. The campaign has distributed small American flags to many of the attendees. A cheer goes up when the campaign briefly flips the channel to more favorable description of results on MSNBC.

Harris campaign chair Jen O’Malley Dillon wrote a memo to campaign staff, outlining the theory of the case for the remaining states. “We have known all along that our clearest path to 270 electoral votes lies through the Blue Wall states. And we feel good about what we’re seeing,” she wrote, according to a copy of the email obtained by The Washington Post.

Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown, who’s seeking a fourth term, is running about seven points ahead of Harris in Ohio but still trailing his Republican challenger Bernie Moreno.

Moreno leads Brown 46 percent to 51 percent with about 89 percent of the vote counted and the Post Pulse forecast estimates that Moreno will end up with around 52 percent of the vote.

LONDON — It was already late when the first results started coming in, but it was packed in the bar where expat campaign group Democrats Abroad was hosting a watch party. Indiana for Trump, boos. Vermont for Harris, cheers.

NEW YORK — Trump supporters met in front of Trump Tower on Tuesday night, waving American and Israeli flags and erupting into cheers as results from several states trickled in.

Some of them arrived from a nearby pro-Israel demonstration, while others arrived on their own, wearing MAGA apparel. A Trump impersonator wandered around in an ill-fitting blond wig, performing for cameras as tourists stopped to photograph Donald Trump’s namesake Manhattan high-rise on a historic night.

The polls are closing at 11 p.m. Eastern in California, Idaho, Oregon and Washington state.

California, a reliably Democratic state, has seven competitive House races; Oregon and Washington each have competitive House races.

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) mocked national Democrats for trying to unseat him as he claimed victory Tuesday night in his hard-fought reelection race against Democratic Rep. Colin Allred.

Cruz delivered his victory speech from Houston in the 10 p.m. hour, though the race was not called yet.

Referring to Senate Majority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-New York), Cruz said, “I want to say, Thank you, Chuck, and I hope we win a few more Senate seats tonight because you wasted so much money in Texas.”

As the clock ticked past 10 p.m. on Tuesday, it became increasingly clear that Vice President Kamala Harris’s path to victory would depend on winning the “blue wall” states: Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Considering those states, Fox News host Laura Ingraham offered a warning.

Our Post Pulse forecast for Pennsylvania has just started, and Trump is a slight favorite there. With more than half the vote counted, Trump leads 51 percent to 48 percent. Our forecast expects Trump’s share of the vote to end up at around 52 percent.

Angela Alsobrooks (D) acknowledged the history-making nature of her projected election to the Senate in her victory speech Tuesday: She is the first Black person from Maryland and only the third Black woman in American history elected to the chamber.

“It’s remarkable to think that in two years America will celebrate its 250th birthday, and in all those years,” Alsobrooks said, “there have been more than 2,000 people who have served in the United States Senate. Only three have looked like me.

PHOENIX — Initial results in Arizona, based on ballots received through Oct. 29, were less favorable for Republicans than anticipated.

After losses in the last several cycles, Republicans mounted a full-court press in recent months to persuade their voters to cast their ballots ahead of Nov. 5. And data showed they had developed a commanding lead over Democrats in early voting.

MILWAUKEE — Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wisconsin) called Milwaukee’s process for counting absentee ballots “unbelievably sloppy” after election officials discovered doors to vote tabulators had not been locked.

After securing the doors, election officials said they saw no signs of tampering but were retabulating the 31,000 ballots that had gone through the machines in the interest of transparency. Johnson showed up soon afterward for an impromptu tour of the facility.

All eyes in Georgia are on Gwinnett County, a very diverse north Atlanta suburb that is expected to be a pivotal source of votes. Gwinnett has been lagging way behind other key metro Atlanta counties in reporting.

Another county to watch is Chatham County, home to Savannah, a coastal city that has long backed Democrats and got an unprecedented amount of attention from Kamala Harris, Donald Trump and their campaigns as both sides sought out every possible vote in this key battleground state.

Early Virginia vote totals have been a boost for former president Donald Trump, suggesting a potentially strong showing in the purple state but with the caveat that a large amount of votes have yet to come in from blue strongholds such as Fairfax County, Richmond and Norfolk.

Speaker Mike Johnson (R-Louisiana) keeps touting his bold prediction that House Republicans will not just keep the majority, but expand it this Election Day.

We’re tracking how the counties are shifting from their 2020 margins. Polls have now closed in a majority of the states. The arrows on the map depict percentage-point changes in margin in counties with at least 35 percent of the estimated vote counted.

Huge roars — the loudest I’ve heard tonight — at Donald Trump’s party as the screen shows the former president ahead in Pennsylvania and Georgia, states where there are a lot of votes that still need to be counted.

Former Maryland governor Larry Hogan (R) conceded in the Senate race against Angela Alsobrooks (D), the Prince George’s County executive, in a speech calling for less divisive politics and greater bipartisanship.

Morgan Durham, one of the Howard University students who performed a stroll from her Greek sorority Zeta Phi Beta in front of thousands of attendees and viewers on election night, said she hopes the performances spark national interest in Black Greek life and community service.

Interesting that all the TVs at Trump’s watch party are on CNN, a network he regularly derides as “fake news.”

Virginia is not one of the seven swing states, and it was not considered especially competitive heading into Election Day, although Trump held a rally in the state on Saturday. But the race there is shaping up to be much closer than expected.

The Republican National Committee and the Georgia Republican Party have filed a motion to halt a judge’s order allowing extended hours at six DeKalb County, Georgia, polling sites after they were evacuated earlier tonight because of bomb threats. The filing says the claims made by DeKalb election officials in a court filing requesting extended hours are “unverified and are not accompanied by an affidavit supporting the factual assertions.”

The lawsuit was filed by Alex Kaufman, an Atlanta-area attorney who was involved in Donald Trump’s efforts to overturn his 2020 election loss in Georgia. The lawsuit comes hours after a federal judge slammed Kaufman for his role in a “legally incorrect” lawsuit over absentee ballots.

WILMINGTON, Delaware — Sarah McBride, a Democratic state legislator, made history Tuesday night by winning her congressional race, according to Associated Press projection, to become the first openly transgender member of the House.

With almost three-quarters of votes counted, she had a sizable lead over Republican John Whalen III, a former Delaware State Police officer. The relatively unknown Whalen, 70, had campaigned on stopping illegal immigration and reducing federal debt.

In a speech at an election watch party Tuesday night, Josh Stein, the Democrat projected to win the governorship of North Carolina, promised to lead the reconstruction of the western portion of the state, which was devastated by Hurricane Helene in September.

“As we celebrate tonight, our hearts are with the folks of western North Carolina who are still struggling,” said Stein, the state’s attorney general.

He said that, despite the tragedy, “the goodness of North Carolinians has shone through.”

The polls are closing at 10 p.m. Eastern in Montana, Nevada, and Utah.

Nevada is a presidential battleground state with six electoral votes at stake, and closely watched races for Senate and House seats. In the reliably Republican state of Montana, Democratic Sen. Jon Tester is running for reelection.

Donald Trump was on pace Tuesday night to became the first Republican presidential nominee to win Miami-Dade County in more than 30 years, capturing Florida’s most populous county where Hispanics make up a majority of the electorate.

The FBI said Tuesday night that it identified three more videos spreading false information to mislead voters that purport to be issued by the bureau.

In one instance, a fake statement claiming to be written by the FBI warns reporters and bloggers against publishing information about violence at polling stations, saying that doing so could provoke even more violence.

“This statement is not authentic, is not from the FBI, and its contents are false,” the FBI statement said.

Harris campaign officials are noting enthusiasm among younger voters in several key spots. The lines were still hours long at the University of North Carolina at Charlotte and UNC-Wilmington as polls were closing, as well as at the University of Michigan. The campaign is also tracking slightly higher levels of support for Kamala Harris than expected among early voters in the suburbs of Georgia. Rural turnout in Georgia is generally matching the Harris team’s expectations. They had been closely monitoring rural counties in Georgia for any late signs of surging turnout — which could favor Donald Trump — but they are not seeing that so far. Aides still cautioned that they are still waiting for results from some of the larger rural counties.

Trump is a slight favorite to win North Carolina but Harris still has a path, according to The Post’s election forecast.

Trump is leading Harris in the state 53 percent to 47 percent with about 64 percent of the vote counted.

Trump won North Carolina in 2016 and 2020, although he carried the state by less than two points in 2020. No Democratic presidential candidate has carried the state since Barack Obama in 2008.

ST. PETERSBURG, Florida — A ballot measure that would have enshrined abortion rights in the Florida Constitution fell short Tuesday of the required 60 percent of voter approval, a bitter outcome for advocates who had campaigned hard against the current six-week abortion ban.

With just over 90 percent of votes counted, 57 percent of voters had supported Amendment 4 and 43 percent rejected it.

As polls close across the country, optimism for Kamala Harris is in the air here at Howard University. Thousands gathered here, from proud Bison alumni to current students, to members of the “Divine 9” Greek organizations, and other influential Black professional women’s networks such as the Links. Each of the “Divine 9” chapters at Howard performed their iconic choreography, also known as “strolling.” The DJ is now playing an assortment of gospel, R&B, and dance hits, from Kirk Franklin’s “Stomp” to megastar Ciara’s “1,2 Step” and OutKast’s “The Way You Move” — on par with the Harris campaign’s usual music choices — as the crowd sways and cheers while waiting for the next speaker.

Georgia could give Trump’s top path to victory a big boost. Georgia is the first swing state in which we have a good sense for the direction things are headed. And thus far, the signs are good for Trump.

The Post Pulse election forecast puts Trump on course for about 53 percent of the vote and Harris for about 47 percent. If this holds, this would be a bigger win for Trump than the polls showed. (The Post’s polling average showed Trump winning the state by about two points.)

Post Pulse, The Washington Post’s election forecast, is now live for the national race. Based on our analysis of the vote so far, it is too early to tell whether Harris or Trump has an advantage. The results are limited in swing states right now.

North Carolina voters were about evenly split on whether federal aid to help residents who were impacted by recent hurricanes is going to the people who need it, according to early exit polling. Roughly half of North Carolina voters said it is, while a similar share said federal aid was not going to people who need it.

About 8 in 10 voters who said hurricane aid is going to people who need it supported Vice President Kamala Harris, while about 8 in 10 voters who said hurricane aid is not going to those in need supported former president Donald Trump.

Republican Sen. Rick Scott is projected to win a second term in Florida, after fending off a challenge from former Democratic Rep. Debbie Mucarsel-Powell. Some Democrats hoped Mucarsel-Powell could defeat Scott, who is running to be the next leader of Senate Republicans, and thus expand their chances of holding on to their slim Senate majority. But Scott handily beat his opponent in the state, which has been trending redder and redder.

VALLEY STREAM, N.Y. — In 2022, Laura Gillen was pleading to national Democrats to take her Long Island race seriously. Five Democratic losses — including her own — later, House Democrats are no longer taking swing districts in liberal New York for granted.

Two highly educated suburban counties are sending conflicting signals about Harris’s strength in the suburbs.

Harris appears to be running ahead of Biden in Hamilton County in the Indianapolis suburbs, where about 61 percent of adults 25 and older have bachelor’s degrees or higher.

But she is running behind Biden’s margin in Collin County in the Dallas suburbs, where about 54 percent of adults have bachelor’s degrees or higher.

Fulton County District Attorney Fani T. Willis (D), the Atlanta area prosecutor who is leading the 2020 election interference case against Donald Trump and his allies, easily won a second term, the Associated Press projects.